Australian Dollar Rally May Finally Be Losing Steam

The Australian dollar was the weakest of the major currencies last week, and a bearish engulfing candle on the daily AUDUSD charts on October 1 suggests further declines could be in store. Since the Australian dollar still tends to move with other risky assets, traders should look for any fallout from the release of the G7 statement over the weekend. Though the statements don’t usually signal any sort of groundbreaking new biases, there are lingering concerns that there may be a more pronounced focus on currencies, and more specifically, US dollar weakness. Such a move would likely lead the US dollar higher, and thus, AUDUSD lower, on speculation of a coordinated intervention effort. Later in the week, the Australian dollar is going to encounter two of its most market-moving reports: a rate decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the net employment change.