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Monday, September 14, 2009

US Dollar Forecast Bearish on Clear Downward Momentum

The US Dollar dropped like a stone on its way to fresh 2009 highs against nearly all major forex counterparts, breaking its long-standing trading range against the Euro in fairly dramatic fashion. The first full week of post-summer trading finally brought the sustained price moves we have long been waiting for. FX Trading volume increased notably through mid-week trade and fueled US Dollar losses, but fundamental “justification” for renewed US Dollar weakness was far less clear. According to FXCM execution desk data, open interest in the Euro/US Dollar jumped by as much as 20 percent before the week was through. A busy economic calendar in the week ahead suggests that the US Dollar may remain volatile, and it will be critical to see whether its recent downtrend may be sustained.

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